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History of the Mortgage Market: A Personal Narrative

By John Geanakoplos - Yale
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Lecture Description

Professor Geanakoplos explains how, as a mathematical economist, he became interested in the practical world of mortgage securities, and how he became the Head of Fixed Income Securities at Kidder Peabody, and then one of six founding partners of Ellington Capital Management. During that time Kidder Peabody became the biggest issuer of collateralized mortgage obligations, and Ellington became the biggest mortgage hedge fund. He describes securitization and tranching of mortgage pools, the role of investment banks and hedge funds, and the evolution of the prime and subprime mortgage markets. He also discusses agent based models of prepayments in the mortgage market.

Course Description

Course Index

  1. Why Finance?
  2. Utilities, Endowments, and Equilibrium
  3. Computing Equilibrium
  4. Efficiency, Assets, and Time
  5. Present Value Prices and the Real Rate of Interest
  6. Irving Fisher's Impatience Theory of Interest
  7. Collateral, Present Value and the Vocabulary of Finance
  8. Budgeting for a Long-Lived Institution, Yield
  9. Dynamic Present Value
  10. Social Security
  11. Overlapping Generations Models of the Economy
  12. Demography and Asset Pricing
  13. Quantifying Uncertainty and Risk
  14. Uncertainty and the Rational Expectations Hypothesis
  15. Backward Induction and Optimal Stopping Times
  16. Callable Bonds and the Mortgage Prepayment Option
  17. Modeling Mortgage Prepayments and Valuing Mortgages
  18. History of the Mortgage Market: A Personal Narrative
  19. Dynamic Hedging
  20. Dynamic Hedging and Average Life
  21. Risk Aversion and the Capital Asset Pricing Theorem
  22. The Mutual Fund Theorem and Covariance Pricing Theorems
  23. Risk, Return, and Social Security
  24. The Leverage Cycle and the Subprime Mortgage Crisis
  25. The Leverage Cycle and Crashes